XOCP · Vegas vs XOCP
Week 5 winners
Who wins each game, twice: once from the betting market, and once from XOCP, which adds up every player's fantasy projection on a team into a real score.
XOCP and Vegas pick the same winner in 15 of 15 games. So far this week: XOCP right 0 of 1, Vegas right 0 of 1.
15 of 15 games
| GameAway team at home team, kickoff in Eastern time. Open a game to see every player behind XOCP's score. | Vegas favouriteThe team the betting market favours and by how many points: the median spread across books when XOCP made its pick. | MoneylineMedian moneyline across books. Minus is what you risk to win $100; plus is what a $100 bet wins. | Line moveMedian spread from our first capture to the latest, and the close once the game kicks off. The chart rises as the home side becomes a bigger favourite. | XOCP scoreXOCP's projected real score: each player's projected touchdowns, kicks and defensive scores added up. | XOCP winnerWho XOCP's projected scores say wins, and by how much. | AgreeWhether XOCP and Vegas pick the same winner, and how far apart their margins are. | ResultThe final score, and whether XOCP and Vegas each picked the winner. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET | DAL by 9.09 books | TB +380DAL -500 | DAL -9.5 → DAL -90.5 toward TB | TB 21.5DAL 29.7 | DAL by 8.2 | Yes0.8 pts apart | TB 24, DAL 16XOCP Wrong · Vegas Wrong |
| Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET | JAX by 7.59 books | PHI +295JAX -380 | JAX -2.5 → JAX -7.55 toward JAX | PHI 18.0JAX 26.3 | JAX by 8.3 | Yes0.8 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | CHI by 1.09 books | CHI -122GB +103 | GB -2.5 → CHI -13.5 toward CHI | CHI 24.4GB 23.0 | CHI by 1.4 | Yes0.4 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | CIN by 6.59 books | CIN -320MIA +260 | CIN -9 → CIN -6.52.5 toward MIA | CIN 25.9MIA 18.4 | CIN by 7.4 | Yes0.9 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | NE by 3.59 books | LV +160NE -195 | NE -3.5 → NE -3.5No move | LV 21.7NE 23.9 | NE by 2.2 | Yes1.3 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | MIN by 2.59 books | MIN -140NO +120 | MIN -1.5 → MIN -2.51 toward MIN | MIN 25.9NO 22.0 | MIN by 4.0 | Yes1.5 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | NYJ by 2.09 books | CLE +115NYJ -135 | NYJ -2.5 → NYJ -20.5 toward CLE | CLE 20.1NYJ 21.4 | NYJ by 1.3 | Yes0.7 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | PIT by 2.59 books | IND +124PIT -148 | PIT -1.75 → PIT -2.50.75 toward PIT | IND 22.0PIT 23.6 | PIT by 1.6 | Yes0.9 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | HOU by 7.59 books | HOU -385TEN +308 | HOU -6.5 → HOU -7.51 toward HOU | HOU 26.1TEN 15.9 | HOU by 10.2 | Yes2.7 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | WAS by 4.09 books | NYG +166WAS -198 | WAS -2.75 → WAS -41.25 toward WAS | NYG 19.4WAS 23.8 | WAS by 4.3 | Yes0.3 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET | DEN by 3.59 books | DEN -180LAC +155 | DEN -1.75 → DEN -3.51.75 toward DEN | DEN 22.3LAC 19.7 | DEN by 2.6 | Yes0.9 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET | DET by 5.59 books | DET -255ARI +210 | DET -5.5 → DET -5.5No move | DET 29.3ARI 24.2 | DET by 5.1 | Yes0.4 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET | SEA by 3.09 books | SF +146SEA -174 | SEA -3.5 → SEA -30.5 toward SF | SF 22.0SEA 27.7 | SEA by 5.7 | Yes2.7 pts apart | Not played |
| Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET | ATL by 3.09 books | BAL +146ATL -172 | BAL -6.25 → ATL -39.25 toward ATL | BAL 23.2ATL 24.7 | ATL by 1.5 | Yes1.5 pts apart | Not played |
| Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | LA by 3.09 books | BUF +148LA -175 | LA -2.5 → LA -30.5 toward LA | BUF 25.7LA 28.8 | LA by 3.1 | Yes0.1 pts apart | Not played |
How XOCP gets its score
Every player's projected stats for the week (RotoWire, through Sleeper) turned into real points: 6 per rushing or receiving touchdown, 3 per field goal, 1 per extra point, 6 per defensive or return touchdown. Passing touchdowns are already counted as the receiver's. Two-point conversions and safeties are not projected. The per-player numbers are on the projections page.
The Vegas line is the median across the US sportsbooks The Odds API lists. A "pts apart" figure is the gap between the two predicted margins.
Read this before trusting XOCP
The projections XOCP adds up very likely already use the betting lines, so the two usually agree, and when they don't the market has the better record. Every pick is recorded before kickoff and graded here after the game, right or wrong.